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Watches · WatchCharts market price · Dec 31 · San Francisco
35%chance
No change since openYES if below $32,000
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
WatchCharts estimated the steel Daytona 126500 at $32,889 as of September 2026, and recent WatchCharts listings ranged from about $29,650 to $34,795. White 'Panda' dials trade roughly $6K above black. Loupe put fair market value at $34,783 in April 2026, so the price has already eased. US retail rose about 2–3% in January 2026 to roughly $16.5K–$16.9K.
YES if the 'Market Price' (estimated market value) shown on the WatchCharts overview page for Rolex Cosmograph Daytona 126500 is strictly below $32,000 at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 31, 2026. Use the most recent value WatchCharts displays, even if its 'as of' date is up to 14 days before resolution. If WatchCharts is unreachable, use the median asking price of the 20 lowest-priced new/unworn 126500LN listings (black and white dials combined, US sellers) on Chrono24 at the same time.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
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3 · Signed attestation
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