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Hype Drops · Pokémon TCG · Releases Sep 16 · $49.99 MSRP · San Francisco
45%chance
No change since openYES if above $100
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
The 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box, marking Pokémon's 30th anniversary, releases Sep 16, 2026 at $49.99 MSRP (the Pokémon Center exclusive is $59.99). Before release, TCGplayer resale was reported at just under $178, with Amazon preorders at $89.99. The question is whether the anniversary premium survives a month of retail restocks.
YES if the TCGplayer 'Market Price' for product 704143 (Pokémon ME: 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box, standard retail version) is strictly above $100.00 at 12:00 PM PT on Oct 16, 2026. If Market Price is not displayed, use the median of the 5 most recent completed sales shown on the TCGplayer product page. Fallback is the median of the 10 most recent sealed sold listings on eBay.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
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