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Watches · WatchCharts market price · Dec 31 · San Francisco
25%chance
No change since openYES if above $24,000
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
Rolex discontinued the steel GMT-Master II 'Pepsi' 126710BLRO at Watches & Wonders on Apr 14, 2026, with no replacement. WatchCharts showed about $21,954 in early September 2026 (range $20,307–$23,601), after a roughly 12% Q1 run to about $22,500 and a softening as listings spiked after the announcement. Pre-owned examples historically cleared $24K–$26K against a retail price of about $12K.
YES if the 'Market Price' shown on the WatchCharts overview page for Rolex GMT-Master II Pepsi 126710BLRO is strictly above $24,000 at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 31, 2026. Use the most recent value displayed, even if its 'as of' date is up to 14 days before resolution. If WatchCharts is unreachable, use the median asking price of the 20 lowest-priced pre-owned-with-papers 126710BLRO listings (Jubilee or Oyster) from US sellers on Chrono24 at that time.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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Something look wrong? Disputes reach the admin before a resolution is finalized.
Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
A human reviews the evidence and finalizes, overrides, or voids. Nothing pays out without this step, and you can file a dispute before it happens.
3 · Signed attestation
Finalizing signs an EIP-712 attestation over the market, outcome, observed value and evidence hash. Anyone can verify the signature in their browser against our published attester address.