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Sneakers · Premio · Dec 26 · $355 · ~2,300 pairs · San Francisco
55%chance
No change since openYES if above $710
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
The Air Jordan 4 'BIN 23' (JA3588-200) is set for Dec 26, 2026 at $355. Reports describe it as the AJ4's first Premio edition, limited to roughly 2,300 individually numbered pairs and sold mostly by raffle through SNKRS and top-tier boutiques. That scarcity makes a 2x flip plausible, but the high retail price is a headwind.
YES if the StockX 'Last Sale' for men's US size 10 of the Air Jordan 4 'BIN 23' (style JA3588-200, or the final Nike style code for this 'BIN 23' AJ4 if it differs) is strictly greater than $710.00 at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 31, 2026. If size 10 has no sale in the prior 72 hours, use the median of the 5 most recent sales across men's sizes 8–12. Fallback is the GOAT lowest new ask for size 10. If the release slips past Dec 26, 2026, resolvesAt shifts to 5 days after the actual release.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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Something look wrong? Disputes reach the admin before a resolution is finalized.
Report an issue2 · Admin finalizes
A human reviews the evidence and finalizes, overrides, or voids. Nothing pays out without this step, and you can file a dispute before it happens.
3 · Signed attestation
Finalizing signs an EIP-712 attestation over the market, outcome, observed value and evidence hash. Anyone can verify the signature in their browser against our published attester address.