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Sneakers · Holiday drop · Dec 12 · $235 retail · San Francisco
30%chance
No change since openYES if above $300
Implied from the Yes/No pools after each bet.
Jordan Brand's 2026 holiday AJ11 is the 'Space Jam' 30th-anniversary retro (CT8012-900), releasing Dec 12, 2026 for $235 in full-family sizing at Nike, Foot Locker, Finish Line, JD and others. The 2016 retro was Nike's largest shoe launch ever and still trades around $255–$529 on StockX. Very high production could keep early resale close to retail.
YES if the StockX 'Last Sale' for men's US size 10 of the Air Jordan 11 Retro 'Space Jam' (2026), style CT8012-900, is strictly greater than $300.00 at 12:00 PM PT on Dec 19, 2026. If size 10 has no sale in the prior 72 hours, use the median of the 5 most recent sales across men's sizes 8–12. Fallback is the GOAT lowest new ask for size 10. If the release date moves, resolvesAt shifts to 7 days after the actual release.
1 · AI resolver proposes
After Dec 19, 2026, 12:00 PM PT, the resolver agent reads the source, gathers evidence (links, quoted values, timestamps) and proposes Yes, No, or Void with its reasoning.
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